Capitalizing on scheduling benefits is among the finest methods to achieve a bonus betting on the NBA, and Friday evening’s matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and Chicago Bulls is a sport with an edge. After a Thursday evening highway sport towards the Atlanta Hawks, the Bulls will host Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks, who’re well-rested after their comeback win towards the Miami Warmth on Wednesday evening.
Though the Bulls are 8-5 SU (7-5-1 ATS) when enjoying on zero days relaxation this season, their wins have all come over groups with shedding information (Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder twice, Indiana Pacers, Washington Wizards, Hawks, Houston Rockets, Los Angeles Lakers and Detroit Pistons). In these conditions, the Bulls are 0-4 towards groups with successful information (Phoenix Suns, Boston Celtics, Brooklyn Nets and Warmth).
Nonetheless, the Bulls discover themselves in one other scenario dealing with a staff over .500, this time towards the Bucks — who’ve dominated them lately. The Bucks have defeated the Bulls in 13 out their final 14 matchups with the one loss approaching the final day of the 2020-21 season, a sport the place the Bucks rested their starters.
Upon additional evaluation, it’s clear the Bucks have the sting right here. The Bulls have seen their protection fall off a cliff because the accidents to Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso, rating simply 18th in Defensive Score, permitting 112.3 factors per 100 possessions. They’re simply twentieth in half-court factors per possession (96.6), they usually’ll be dealing with a Bucks staff which is seventh in half-court factors per possession (98.3) and first in Offensive Score, scoring 124.5 factors per 100 possessions over the previous two weeks.
When dealing with groups with a top-10 offense, the Bulls are seventeenth in Level Differential (-0.2) for the season and sixteenth (-7.6) over the previous two weeks. Anticipate this Bucks offense to get no matter it needs on this matchup. Though the Bucks protection has dropped off a bit within the absence of Brook Lopez, that is nonetheless a greater protection than what the Bulls have placed on the ground as they’re eleventh in Defensive Score (110.0).
With the Bucks being the higher total staff and holding a relaxation benefit, I’ll lay the 2 factors with the Bucks as they appear to proceed their dominance over their Central Division rival.
The play: Bucks, -2
