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HomeGolf‘See how he does tomorrow:’ Carnage is coming to Bay Hill 

‘See how he does tomorrow:’ Carnage is coming to Bay Hill 


Adam Scott hits a shot on Friday on the sixteenth gap at Bay Hill.

Getty Pictures

Rory McIlroy spoke in ominous tones. Talor Gooch, too. Bay Hill will do this to a participant. And this Arnold Palmer Invitational, particularly. 

Among the many final to complete Friday’s second spherical, McIlroy was advised that chief Viktor Hovland earlier took solely 23 putts. And that Tyrrell Hatton, who, together with McIlroy and Gooch, are two pictures again, hit solely 22 putts. McIlroy’s response to Hovland?

“See how he does tomorrow.”

And to Hatton? 


Rory McIlroy watches an iron shot during the 2022 Genesis Invitational

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“See how he does tomorrow.”

So far this PGA Tour golf yr, we’ve been blessed by birdies. Or bombarded, if penalty strokes and triple bogeys (or worse!) are extra your factor. All of it started with Cameron Smith’s whopping 34-under win on the Event of Champions, then snowballed from there — 23-under at each the Sony and American Categorical, 15-under by two gamers on the Farmers (at Torrey Pines, no much less), 19-under at Pebble Seashore (at Pebble Seashore, no much less!) and 16-under in Phoenix, earlier than final week’s delicate 10-under on the Honda. Then got here this week. Then got here Friday. All advised, simply 5 gamers have been higher than three-under for the match, with Hovland main at nine-under; through the second spherical, solely 18 gamers within the 120-player subject broke par.

How brutal was it? Gooch was additionally among the many final to limp off Bay Hill after the second spherical, and these have been his first seven phrases to reporters afterward:

“I don’t wish to go play once more.”   

Right here, then, is what has made Arnie’s place breathe hearth. And what might make issues much more hellish. To cite McIlroy, let’s see how they do tomorrow. 

The greens are quick quick 

The greens are quicker than you say three-putt. They usually’ve been solely getting quicker. To know simply how a lot so from the Wednesday pro-am to Thursday’s first spherical, we’ll name on world No. 1 Jon Rahm, who’s enjoying his first Arnold Palmer. 


Tyrrell Hatton

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“There was a big distinction from the golf course I performed yesterday within the pro-am to what I discovered within the first few holes,” he mentioned. “These greens yesterday are receptive. You might cease lengthy irons very, very simply. Brief irons have been even spinning again, and the greens weren’t that quick.

“We get to 1, and we see the golf course that we see. These greens have been already somewhat crunchy, and it’s Thursday. You’re not going to again up something, and in the event you hit a protracted iron in, you may count on simply 5 to 10 paces of launch. So massive distinction.”

To elucidate finest the distinction Friday morning to Friday afternoon, McIlroy’s warning to Hovland and Hatton works properly. Dew and darkness softened the greens to begin the second spherical. Then they turned on the oven. The identical idea will likely be in play for Saturday, but it surely additionally stays to be seen how comfortable — or onerous — the greens will likely be originally.   

Stated McIlroy: “They’ll be — yeah, glassy and agency and — , they’ll be tough. It’s nonetheless you simply must land it in your spots with the precise spin and the precise trajectory. So that you simply must be so, so exact every time the greens get like this. Simply places much more of a premium on hitting the ball within the fairway as a way to put some spin on the ball to regulate it into these greens.”

Stated Gooch: “I don’t know if they’ll get the greens any firmer or quicker with out it getting ridiculous. There can be a couple of gamers not too glad if that have been the case.”

The tough is tough 

The Bay Hill has grown its fairway tough to lottery size — you would possibly get fortunate with a lie, you won’t; you would possibly be capable to hit a inexperienced; you won’t be capable to join in any respect. So thick is it that Adam Scott, one of many sport’s longest hitters, shelved his driver within the hope of avoiding it. So gnarly is it that multiple participant has whispered “U.S. Open.”

“The tough is extremely thick,” Scott mentioned. “It’s a half-shot penalty virtually each time you hit it in it. “  

The wind gained’t be a breeze

Graeme McDowell, twice a runner-up at Bay Hill, mentioned the situations on Thursday morning have been “essentially the most benign” he had ever seen, and the scores mirrored it. On the earlier talked about Event of Champions, Justin Thomas described properly what occurs once you pit good gamers in opposition to no protection. 


Graeme McDowell opened with 68 at Bay Hill on Thursday.

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“Golf followers simply want to grasp what causes scores,” he mentioned. “I believe everyone, they only see, ‘Oh, they’re hitting it to date now; that’s why it’s so low.’ It’s like no, it’s so low as a result of it’s so comfortable, and in the event you give us comfortable situations, fairways this massive, course this quick, we’re going to shoot nothing. Then in the event you give us not very a lot wind, we’re going to shoot even decrease.” 

On Saturday, based on climate.com, there will likely be 15 mph winds. On Sunday, they may blow at 14 mph. In different phrases, selections must be made. 

The course is already not simple 

Even with out quick greens, thick tough and wind, Bay Hill is not any picnic. Earlier successful scores give some indication of that. Final yr, Bryson DeChambeau gained with an 11-under whole. Within the 5 years earlier than that, Hatton gained at four-under, Francesco Molinari gained at 12-under, McIlroy was at 18-under, Marc Leishman gained at 11-under, and Jason Day gained at 17-under.   

After all, one other signal of the Orlando, Fla., course’s issue is a have a look at the different finish of the leaderboard. On Thursday, Kevin Na signed for an 81, and Seamus Energy an 80. On Friday, seven gamers have been 80 or worse. And keep in mind, too, that gamers will hit to weekend pins on Saturday and Sunday.  

Arnold Palmer, the match’s longtime host and one of many sport’s legends, loved being hospitable, however he didn’t serve a cupcake. 

The tough is up by the greens, too

Not the whole lot this weekend could also be as fiendish because it could possibly be. Gone this yr at Bay Hill are sloping run-off areas across the greens, which had typically stunted gamers from firing at tight pins, and of their place is thick tough. Miss now, and the chip again is shorter, albeit it in cabbage.    


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Gamers who’ve been requested by reporters this week have been largely cut up on the transfer, generally even between participant and caddie. 

“That’s a debate that my caddie, Fooch (Mark Fulcher), and I’ve been having all week,” Billy Horschel mentioned on Thursday. “He’s been considering the shortage of runoffs goes to make it play simpler. I haven’t kind of been on that concept. I believe it’s going to make it play perhaps somewhat bit more durable. So we’ve received somewhat aspect guess on a couple of holes the place the runoff is now not on what the rating could also be for sure pin places.

“It’s bizarre as a result of I’m so used to seeing the runoffs, and I’m so snug with these runoffs that it’s really some holes are nicer that they’re not there. So if the ball does launch an excessive amount of otherwise you’re within the tough, there’s a buffer that the ball is simply going to be a pair yards off as an alternative of operating all the way in which down.”

So who survives?

Hovland will begin Saturday at nine-under and two strokes forward of Hatton, Gooch and McIlroy, and three in entrance of Horschel. After that, seven golfers are six again, and three are seven again. So there’s a spot between the highest and the center. 



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Who survives? Maybe the reply comes from the participant who gained an unimaginable eight occasions at Bay Hill. The king of the King’s place, if you’ll. 

“I don’t assume you may ever actually love actually, actually powerful golf,” McDowell mentioned. “It’s like a U.S. Open setup, for instance. While you’re having to play away from flags, there’s a sure frustration to that, however there’s additionally a specific amount of self-discipline required to do this.

“That’s what made Tiger nice. That’s why Tiger gained so many occasions round right here as a result of, A, he’s actually, actually good; B, you must be tremendous environment friendly with what you’re doing. It’s a must to ignore pin positions and keep away from bother. So I believe that appeals to that sort of participant.”

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Nick Piastowski

Nick Piastowski

Golf.com Editor

Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Journal. In his position, he’s liable for enhancing, writing and growing tales throughout the golf house. And when he’s not writing about methods to hit the golf ball farther and straighter, the Milwaukee native might be enjoying the sport, hitting the ball left, proper and quick, and consuming a chilly beer to clean away his rating. You possibly can attain out to him about any of those subjects — his tales, his sport or his beers — at nick.piastowski@golf.com.

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